A recent study of the recreational
vehicle (RV) industry forecasts a bullish
$13.7 billion in sales by 2005. This projection,
released in a comprehensive
industry analysis conducted by Crowe
Capital Markets LLC, is based on a
number of evolving and emerging trends
in the RV industry.
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Crowe Capital Markets LLC is a
Chicago-based boutique investment
bank and an affiliate of Crowe, Chizek
and Company LLP, one of the top 10
public accounting and consulting firms
in the United States.
"Recreational vehicle shipments and
revenues are soaring, valuations are at
historical highs, and many RV participants
are aggressively pursuing their
plans for expansion and growth," said
Mike McCoy, managing director at
Crowe Capital. "Currently, participants
in the recreational vehicle industry face
an unprecedented opportunity to capitalize
on this growth and to maximize
shareholder value. This study presented
Crowe Capital with the opportunity to
address a historically underserved
industry with sophisticated financial
analysis and support."
The inaugural study highlights four
important factors:
* Large and Rapidly Growing Market -
After declines in shipments and total
retail value in 2000 and 2001, the $8.6
billion RV market began to recover in
2002. This is a trend that Crowe Capital
expects to continue in 2003, as positive
underlying economic fundamentals and
increased end-user demand fuel accelerated
growth.
* Continued Industry Rebound - A
market rebound already is underway in
the industry, with publicly traded RV
equities outperforming the S&P Index by
a margin of 92 percent over the past two
years. This rebound is expected to continue
into 2003.
* Favorable Demographic Trends - As
baby boomers continue to age, the RV
industry stands to experience significant
future growth through increased spending
on the RV lifestyle. With increasing
amounts of disposable income and free
time, this segment of the population -
generally referred to as Americans born
between 1946 and 1964 - represents the
highest RV ownership rate of any population
group (13.7 percent of vehicle owning
households). Crowe Capital
views this trend as the key long-term
growth factor for the RV industry.
* Continued Consolidation - The past
10 years have seen a wave of consolidation
within the industry. The Crowe
Capital study expects trends in the RV
industry to mirror those in the auto
industry, with larger manufacturers continuing
to garner increased market
share through internal expansion and
acquisition.
Additional research findings include:
RV Market Segmentation
* The RV market can be segmented
into two main categories: motorhomes
(RVs built on a motor vehicle chassis)
and towables (designed to be towed by a
motor vehicle). Motorhome sales generated
$5.3 billion, or 61.6 percent, of the
total RV market in 2001, with towable
sales generating the remaining $3.3 billion.
* Within the motorhome category,
the majority of shipments were Class A
motorhomes, accounting for 67.9 percent
of the segment total. Class A
motorhomes are the largest and most
luxurious of the three motorhome classes,
selling for an average retail price of
$130,000.
* Among motorhome and towable
segments, the trend favors higher-end
RVs. For example, the Class A
motorhomes segment share increased
from 56.0 percent in 1991 to 67.9 percent
in 2002. In the towable category,
the combined share of higher-priced
travel trailers and fifth-wheel trailers
increased from 64.0 percent of shipments to 75.5 percent since
1991. These trends suggest a
significant amount of "trading
up" on the part of RV consumers.
Growth Drivers
* Low interest rates and gas
prices have played a major role
in the recent success in the RV
industry, stimulating RV purchases
by minimizing the cost
of financing a vehicle and
encouraging consumers to buy
in anticipation of lower travelrelated
expenses.
* Many Americans are turning
to RV travel as a lower cost
alternative to other vacation
types. A recent survey suggests
that a family of four can save
between 29 percent and 80 percent
on average on a weeklong
vacation when traveling by RV.
* RV industry awareness
has increased substantially over
the past decade, largely as a
result of industry efforts to promote
the RV experience to the
broader public. The most significant
effort came from the "Go
RVing" campaign, a $40 million
television, Internet and magazine
advertising effort that ran
from January 2000 through
September 2002.
* Safety is of primary importance
to travelers in the wake of
the Sept. 11, 2001, tragedies.
Many travelers have placed an
increased emphasis on travel
safety, electing road travel over
flying.
Price Movements
* Average prices for purchased
RVs have risen over the
past decade, most notably in
the motorhome category. The
average price of a motorhome
increased from $51,200 in 1991
to $106,800 in 2002, representing
an annual growth rate of
more than 7.6 percent.
* Prices in the towable category
have remained more constant,
rising by 3.8 percent
annually, from $11,100 to
$16,100 in the past decade.
This inaugural report was
created to serve the needs of the
many constituents of the recreational
vehicle industry.
According to McCoy, "Crowe
Capital feels that the recreational
vehicle industry has not
received the attention it
deserves. With Crowe Chizek's
long history of serving RV companies,
it was a natural fit for
Crowe Capital to combine its
investment banking services
with robust industry knowledge
and strong relationships."
To receive a copy of the
report, please contact Peter
McLaughlin of Crowe Capital
Markets at 312-899-7307. RVN
Study shows a solid road ahead
for the RV industry
Growing market, industry performance, demographics
and consolidation favor RV industry in 2003