Volume 31 - Number 1 / August 2005    


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Wholesale RV Shipments

May 2005

The Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA) reports that wholesale deliveries to retailers of all RVs were 31,500 units in May this year, but off 3.4% from the same month last year. Gains in conventional travel trailers of 400 units were offset by declines in other vehicle categories of 1,500 units as compared to May 2004. Year to date, shipments have reached 163,200 units, up 1.2% over the first five months last year.

In the May consumer confidence survey, the Index of Consumer Sentiment dipped slightly to 86.9, down from 90.2 as reported one year ago, according to the University of Michigan’s Consumer Research Center. While small, the consistent slippage in this indicator recorded so far this year is troubling. 

“Consumers continue to expect the pace of economic growth to be slower in 2005 than last year,” said Dr. Richard Curtin, director of the survey. “More recently, consumers have become less confident about the longer term outlook for the economy, holding the least favorable prospects in ten years.”

Still, lower interest rates continue to spur retail sales of RVs as seen in the retail activity of all RVs. Although lower than this same month last year, the Index has remained quite positive over the past several years.

Towable RVs  

All towable RVs were reported at 26,000 units in May this year, off 2.3% compared to May last year. Year to date, totals for all towable RVs have grown to 135,400 units, up 4.6% over the first five months last year and the highest start to a year since 1976.

Conventional travel trailers continued to grow rising 400 units to post a monthly total of 14,800 units, the most travel trailers for the month of May in nearly 30 years. Year to date totals for conventional travel trailers were up 7,700 units over this same five month period last year, ahead by 11%. Other towable vehicle categories were behind last year’s pace limiting the groups gain to 4.6%, year to date.

Motorhomes

Wholesale shipments of all motorhomes were off 8.3% on shipments to retailers of 5,500 units in May this year. Totals year to date were behind last year’s first five months by a total of 4,000 units or 12.6%. rising 10% on 1,100 units, year to date.

Conversion Vehicles

All conversion vehicles shipments declined in May by the largest amount so far this year, sliding 33.3% for the month to just 3,000 units. Van conversions were hardest hit, slipping 40% on shipments of 1,800 units. Pickup truck conversions tumbled 30.8% on shipments of 900 units while sport utility conversions improved by 100 units.

Year to date, total conversion vehicles have climbed to 16,300 units through May this year, a loss of 17.3% compared to this same month last year. RVIA

This Chart Shows Total RV Shipments 1991 - 2005 (Units in Thousands)

  1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005   
 JAN 10.715.1 17.1 18.4 21.1 19.10 19.9 21.9 22.3 26.8 19.2 21.3  25.2 26.8 28.8
 FEB 10.6 15.2 16.8 18.0 20.3 20.0 21.1 21.6 24.7 26.0 19.6 22.3  23.0 27.5 30.1
 MAR 14.3 19.1 21.1 25.8 25.9 24.4 23.4 28.4 31.8 33.5 26.9 27.2 28.1 36.3 37.4
 APR 19.1 22.8 25.8 28.6 26.3 28.5 27.6 32.7 34.3 32.2 26.8 31.2  31.2 38.0  35.4
 MAY 15.4 18.1 19.6 23.6 22.8 24.2 23.4 26.2 28.2 28.9 23.8 28.4  26.2 32.6 31.5
 JUNE 14.7 16.2 18.7 23.4 20.2 20.2 20.8 24.2 28.9 26.7  23.1 28.4  29.8 35.1  
 JULY 15.2 17.1 20.2 22.8 19.9 20.5 21.9 25.4 25.9 22.7 21.2 27.7  28.3

32.3

 
 AUG 14.5 15.2 20.2 23.2 21.2 20.2 21.0 24.6 26.2 25.0 23.4 28.7  27.5 32.4  
 SEP 13.6 17.3 18.9 21.2 18.6 19.1 21.0 24.3 28.7 22.9  21.0  26.9  26.9 28.4  
 OCT 14.6 18.9 20.2 22.3 20.9 21.2 22.2 24.9 27.2 22.6 20.0 28.8  29.9 30.6  
 NOV 10.3 13.3 13.9 16.3 15.2 15.5 15.6 19.5 21.0 15.9 15.3  20.2 22.4  24.2  
 DEC 10.3 15.1 15.3 15.6 14.6 14.6 16.6 19.0 22.0 16.9 16.5 19.9  22.3 25.9   
 Totals 163.3 203.4 227.8 259.2 247.0 247.5 254.5 292.7 321.2 300.1 256.8 311.0 320.8  370.1  

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